PDF(1384 KB)
Multi-objective variable weight combination forecasting model of macro logistics volume based on pccsAMOPSO
FAN Dong-fang,LUO Kai,JIN Zhi-hong
Journal of Dalian Maritime University ›› 2021, Vol. 47 ›› Issue (4) : 19-29.
PDF(1384 KB)
PDF(1384 KB)
Multi-objective variable weight combination forecasting model of macro logistics volume based on pccsAMOPSO
Aiming at the limitations of the existing mediumtolongterm macro logistics volume forecasting models, a multi-objective variable weight combination prediction model (MOVWCP) based on the pccsAMOPSO algorithm was proposed to analyze and predict macro logistics volume. In order to improve the stability of the multi-objective variable weight combination prediction model, the concept of error entropy was proposed, which used as the objective function of the weight programming model together with MAPE. An intelligent heuristic algorithm based on pccsAMOPSO was designed to solve the Pareto front with variable weight in the fitting period, and the variable weight Pareto solution was selected by sensitivity difference. A series of numerical test results verify the superiority of the multiobjective variable weight combination prediction model and its algorithm proposed in this paper.
logistics volume forecasting / pccsAMOPSO / mutil-objective variable weight combination prediction mode (MOVWCP) / mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) / error entropy
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