Journal of Dalian Maritime University >
2019 , Vol. 45 >Issue 1: 40 - 46
DOI: https://doi.org/10.16411/j.cnki.issn1006-7736.2019.01.006
Human error risk analysis of coastal water collision accidents based on Fine-Kinney method of fuzzy rule base
Received date: 2018-08-21
Revised date: 2018-09-28
Online published: 2018-09-29
The human error risk in collision accidents in coastal waters was analyzed by introducing a fuzzy rule base and traditional Fine-Kinney theory. According to the stratified results of contribution degree of each factor to collision accidents in coastal waters, the contribution value increases with the decrease of the refinement of management regulations and the increase of the difficulty of crew judgment. A priority algorithm was used to mine association rules for 424 samples of maritime accidents in Zhejiang coastal area from 2005 to 2014, and the collision accidents were selected as the former and human errors as the latter. Statistical software was used to compare and analyze the contribution value of each factor and confidence value in association rules, and it is proved that the analysis result of the proposed method is basically in line with the actual situation, which can be used in maritime risk analysis. For the first time, this method has been applied in the field of maritime affairs and can independently evaluate a single risk factor.
Key words: fuzzy rule-based; Fine-Kinney; coastal waters; collision incidents; human error
YANG Bai-cheng , ZHAO Zhi-lei , CHEN Hai-li . Human error risk analysis of coastal water collision accidents based on Fine-Kinney method of fuzzy rule base[J]. Journal of Dalian Maritime University, 2019 , 45(1) : 40 -46 . DOI: 10.16411/j.cnki.issn1006-7736.2019.01.006
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