A passenger ship evacuation model considering the influence of panic emotion

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  • (1. College of Marine Science and Engineering, Shanghai Maritime University, Shanghai 201306, China ;2. School of Civil and Hydraulic Engineering, Hefei University of Technology, Hefei 230009, China; 3. Shanghai Waigaoqiao Shipbuilding Co., LTD, Shanghai 200137, China )

Online published: 2024-03-02

Abstract

In order to study the influence of panic emotion transmission among passenger ship personnel, a P-SEIRS panic emotion infection model was established based on the personality OCEAN model and SEIRS infectious disease model. A personnel evacuation model considering panic emotion infection was established by using Anylogic evacuation simulation software, the evacuation process of passenger ship personnel under panic emotion transmission was analyzed, and the influence of initial panic personnel proportion, sensitivity, equipment intervention, and number of guides on panic emotion transmission and evacuation efficiency was explored. The simulation results show that panicked individuals will exacerbate congestion, leading to an increase in evacuation time; the higher the sensitivity of the crowd, the faster the spread of panic emotions, and more panicked pedestrians will be generated during the evacuation process; equipment intervention and appropriate guidance are beneficial for improving passenger evacuation efficiency, but excessive guidance can prolong evacuation time.

Cite this article

ZHANG Xiao, XIE Qimiao, WANG Yitian . A passenger ship evacuation model considering the influence of panic emotion[J]. Journal of Dalian Maritime University, 2024 , 50(3) : 113 -121 . DOI: 10.16411/j.cnki.issn1006-7736.2024.03.013

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