Human factor analysis of ship pilotage accidents based on HFACS-BN model

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  • (1. Navigation College, Dalian Maritime University, Dalian 116026,China; 2.Ningbo Dagang Pilot Co., Ltd, Ningbo 315042,China)

Received date: 2024-07-10

  Revised date: 2024-07-10

  Accepted date: 2024-07-10

  Online published: 2024-07-10

Abstract

In order to better analyze the human factors in ship pilotage accidents, a human factors analysis model for ship pilotage accidents was established to identify and evaluate the transmission path of key risk factors in the ship pilotage process. Firstly, the original human factors analysis and classification system (HFACS) framework was adjusted and refined based on accident reports to identify human factors in pilotage accidents. Secondly, a HFACSBN model of ship pilotage accidents was constructed based on the logical relationships within the HFACS framework and Bayesian network (BN) theory to verify the reliability of the model. Finally, the key risk factor transmission path was identified by integrating BN inference and sensitivity analysis. Results show that among all human factors transmission paths, “R1 (behavioral error) → P2 (poor operator status) → S2 (improper operation plan) → M2 (poor organizational atmosphere)” is the transmission path of key risk factors. Implementing effective control measures against human factors in ship pilotage accidents is of great significance in preventing further development of risks.


Cite this article

JIANG Ziyi, XIAO Zhongming, FENG Yinwei, ZHOU Dongjian . Human factor analysis of ship pilotage accidents based on HFACS-BN model[J]. Journal of Dalian Maritime University, 2025 , 51(1) : 63 -70 . DOI: 10.16411/j.cnki.issn1006-7736.2025.01.007

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