金融危机后全球货物贸易复杂网络演化与中国响应战略

赵昌平; 郑米雪; 范厚明

doi:10.16411/j.cnki.issn1006-7736.2017.02.010

大连海事大学学报 >

2017 , Vol. 43 >Issue 2: 60 - 66

DOI: https://doi.org/10.16411/j.cnki.issn1006-7736.2017.02.010

交通运输工程

金融危机后全球货物贸易复杂网络演化与中国响应战略

赵昌平 ,
郑米雪 ,
范厚明

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(大连海事大学战略与系统规划研究所，辽宁大连 116026)

赵昌平*（1973 — ），男，博士，副教授，E-mail： zhao0037@sina.com.赵昌平*（1973 — ），男，博士，副教授，E-mail： zhao0037@sina.com.

收稿日期: 2016-08-30

修回日期: 2017-01-22

网络出版日期: 2017-02-09

基金资助

国家自然科学基金资助项目（61473053）；辽宁省社会科学规划基金资助项目（L15BJY041）.

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Complex network evolution of global trade in goods after the financial crisis and response strategy in China

ZHAO Chang-ping ,
ZHENG Mi-xue ,
FAN Hou-ming

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(Institute of Strategic Management and System Planning ,Dalian Maritime University,Dalian 116026,China)

Received date: 2016-08-30

Revised date: 2017-01-22

Online published: 2017-02-09

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摘要

运用复杂网络分析法，对由26个国家和地区组成的货物贸易网络的演化进行研究，侧重分析中国的响应政策效果，从而为中国的响应战略研究提供科学依据.首先，利用网络结构熵、群聚系数分析网络的演化趋势；其次，利用中心性指标对各国在网络中的地位变化进行评价.研究结果表明，全球货物贸易网络具有随机网络的特征，且我国各阶段的响应策略具有有效性.

关键词： 金融危机; 全球货物贸易; 复杂网络; 演化; 中心性指标; 结构熵; 响应战略

本文引用格式

赵昌平 , 郑米雪 , 范厚明 . 金融危机后全球货物贸易复杂网络演化与中国响应战略[J]. 大连海事大学学报, 2017 , 43(2) : 60 -66 . DOI: 10.16411/j.cnki.issn1006-7736.2017.02.010

Abstract

The evolution of the goods trade network consisting of 26 countries and regions was studied by using the complex network analysis method, and the China’s response to the policy effect was focused on to provide scientific basis for the Chinese response strategy. Firstly, the evolution trend of the network was analyzed by using network structure entropy and clustering coefficient. Secondly, the position changes of above 26 counties and regions in the network were evaluated by using centrality index. Results show that the global trade network has the characteristics of stochastic network, and the response strategies of each stage in China are effective.

Key words： financial crisis; global goods trade; complex network; evolution; centrality index; structural entropy; response strategy

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