大连海事大学学报 >
2018 , Vol. 44 >Issue 1: 65 - 71
DOI: https://doi.org/10.16411/j.cnki.issn1006-7736.2018.01.010
东南亚海域海盗袭击的应急方案选择
收稿日期: 2017-08-09
修回日期: 2017-09-15
网络出版日期: 2017-09-15
基金资助
国家自然科学基金资助项目（71473023）；中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目（3132016359）.
Emergency response options for piracy attacks in Southeast Asia Sea
Received date: 2017-08-09
Revised date: 2017-09-15
Online published: 2017-09-15
张聆晔 , 吕靖 , 李晶 , 孙茂金 . 东南亚海域海盗袭击的应急方案选择[J]. 大连海事大学学报, 2018 , 44(1) : 65 -71 . DOI: 10.16411/j.cnki.issn1006-7736.2018.01.010
To ensure emergency response timely and effectively after piracy incidents, an emergency plan selection method to response pirate attacks was proposed based on case-based reasoning. Aiming at problems of attribute information missing in pirate attacks and reuse of emergency plans, the traditional case similarity measurement model was improved and “structural similarity” was introduced to measure influence of missing information on case matching and “attribute substitution measures” was proposed to determine the deviation degree of the case attributes. Results show that the proposed method can ensure the accuracy of case matching and the feasibility of reuse of emergency plan.
Key words： Southeast Asia Sea; piracy attack; emergency plan; case-based reasoning
[1]王历荣．国际海盗问题与中国海上通道安全[J]．当代亚太，2009(6)：119 – 131．
WANG Li-rong．International piracy and China’s sea lanes security[J]．Journal of Contemporary Asia-Pacific Studies，2009(6)：119 – 131．(in Chinese)
[2]薛力．马六甲海峡海盗活动的趋势与特征—— 一项统计分析[J]．国际政治研究，2011，48(2)：135 – 157．
XUE Li．The trend and characteristics of piracy in the straits of Malacca:a statistical analysis[J]．International Politics Quarterly，2011，48(2)：135 – 157．(in Chinese)
[3]朱乐群，吕靖，李晶．海盗袭击突发事件形成机理的演化博弈分析[J]．交通运输系统工程与信息，2015，15(4)：24 – 30．
ZHU Le-qun，LV Jing，LI Jing．Evolutionary game analysis of Engendering mechanism for pirate attacks[J]．Journal of Transportation Systems Engineering and Information Tech-nology，2015，15(4)：24 – 30．(in Chinese)
[4]SEVILLANO J C，INSUA D R，RIOS J．Adversarial risk analysis:the Somali pirates case[J]．Decision Analysis，2012，9(6)：86 – 95．
[5]MARCHIONE E，JOHNSON S D．Spatial，temporal and spatio-temporal patterns of maritime piracy[J]．The Journal of Research in Crime and Delinquency，2013，50(4)：504 – 524．
[6]PRISTROM S，LI K X，YANG Z，et al．A study of maritime security and piracy[J]．Maritime Policy & Manage-ment，2013，40(7)：675 – 693．
[7]SCHANK R C．Dynamic memory:a theory of reminding and learning in computers and people[M]．New York，NY：Cambridge University Press，1982：5 – 16．
[8]KRUPKA J，KASPAROVA M，JIRAVA P．Case-based reasoning model in process of emergency manage-ment[C]//Man-machine Interactions，Advances in Intelligent and Soft Computing(AISC 59)．Springer：2009．
[9]AMAILEF K，LU J．Ontology-supported case-based reasoning approach for intelligent m-Government emergency response services[J]．Decision Support Systems，2013，55(1)：79 – 97．
[10]郑晶，王应明，陈圣群．考虑方案有效性的应急案例决策方法[J]．控制与决策，2016，31(10)：1824 – 1830．
ZHENG Jing，WANG Ying-ming，CHEN Sheng-qun． Decision method for emergency cases with con-sidering effectiveness of alternative[J]．Control and Decision，2016，31(10)：1824 – 1830．(in Chinese)
[11]封超，杨乃定，桂维民，等．基于案例推理的突发事件应急方案生成方法[J]．控制与决策，2016，31(8)：1526 – 1530．
FENG Chao，YANG Nai-ding，GUI Wei-min，et al． Method for generating emergency alternative based on case-based rea-soning[J]．Control and Decision，2016，31(8)：
1526 – 1530．(in Chinese)
[12]JING K，TANG L．Adaptive CBR model based on result domain matching for emergency decision making[C]//International Conference on Information Science，Electronics and Electrical Engineering(ISEEE)．IEEE，2014．
[13]LIU W M，HU G Y，LI J F．Emergency resources demand prediction using case-based reasoning[J]．Safety Science，2012，50(3)：530 – 534．
/
| 〈 |
|
〉 |