交通运输工程

拆船补贴政策下的干散货船队更新策略与政策效果

  • 江振峰 ,
  • 彭译侬 ,
  • 杨忠振
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  • (大连海事大学 交通运输工程学院,辽宁 大连 116026)
江振峰(1980 — ),男,博士生,E-mail:zhenfengjiang@dlmu.edu.cn.

收稿日期: 2019-04-09

  修回日期: 2019-05-21

  网络出版日期: 2019-05-21

基金资助

国家自然科学基金重点项目(71431001).

Renewal strategy and policy effect of dry bulk fleer under shipbreaking subsidy policy

  • JIANG Zhen-feng ,
  • PENG Yi-nong ,
  • YANG Zhong-zhen
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  • (Transportation Engineering College, Dalian Maritime University, Dalian 116026, China)

Received date: 2019-04-09

  Revised date: 2019-05-21

  Online published: 2019-05-21

摘要

为在拆船补贴政策下设计航运公司干散货船队更新方案,以船公司收益最大为目标建立干散货船队规划模型.以中国远洋海运集团干散货船队为研究对象,预测未来5年的干散货运输需求,分期制定有无补贴下的干散货船的拆解与新造策略.通过比较有无补贴时的船队更新方案,明确补贴对船公司拆解与新造干散货船的影响,以及对船公司提升盈利能力的作用.结果表明,补贴政策可促进老旧船舶的提前拆解;在补贴政策的刺激下,船舶拆解量和造船量大幅度增加.研究有助于政府和航运企业明确拆船补贴的政策效用,促使船公司利用补贴政策更新船舶,提高市场竞争能力.

本文引用格式

江振峰 , 彭译侬 , 杨忠振 . 拆船补贴政策下的干散货船队更新策略与政策效果[J]. 大连海事大学学报, 2019 , 45(3) : 17 -23 . DOI: 10.16411/j.cnki.issn1006-7736.2019.03.003

Abstract

In order to plan the renewal scheme of  dry bulk fleet  of shipping company under the policy of ship dismantling subsidy, a fleet planning model of dry bulk fleet was established with the objective of maximizing shipping company’s profit.Taking the dry bulk cargo fleet of COSCO as the research object, the demand of dry bulk cargo transportation  in the next five years was forecasted,and the strategy of dismantling and new construction of dry bulk cargo ships  with or without subsidies was formulated by stages.By comparing fleet renewal schemes with or without subsidy,the impact of subsidy on the dismantling and new dry bulk carriers of shipping companies has been cleared as well as the effects of subsidy on improving the profitability of shipping companies. The result shows that the subsidy policy can promote the early dismantling of old ships.Under the simulation of subsidy policy,the amount of ship dismantling and shipbuilding increases substantially.The study can help the government and shipping enterprises to clarify the policy effectiveness of ship dismantling subsidy,and promote shipping companies to use the subsidy policy to update ships and improve market competitiveness.

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