船舶横摇状态下的行人疏散速度数值分析

展开
  • (大连海事大学 航海学院,辽宁 大连 116026) 
王艺航(1998 — ),男,硕士生,研究方向:行人动力学。刘正江(1959 — ),男,博士,教授,研究方向:海上交通安全。房斯明(1996 — ),男,博士生,研究方向:船舶人员撤离。张新宇(1978 — ),男,博士,教授,研究方向:船舶交通组织优化、海事大数据。王新建(1988 — ),男,博士,讲师,研究方向:客船人员疏散, E-mail:wangxinjian@dlmu.edu.cn

收稿日期: 2023-03-24

  修回日期: 2023-04-26

  录用日期: 2023-04-26

  网络出版日期: 2023-04-26

基金资助

国家自然科学基金青年项目(52101399);中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目(3132023138);国家高技术船舶科研计划项目(2020-31-GX)

Numerical analysis of personnel evacuation speed in ship rolling state

Expand
  • (Navigation College, Dalian Maritime University, Dalian 116026, China)

Received date: 2023-03-24

  Revised date: 2023-04-26

  Accepted date: 2023-04-26

  Online published: 2023-04-26

摘要

为研究船舶横摇对行人疏散速度的影响,通过计算行人在横摇运动空间中不同维度的受力,依据实时更新的横摇角度和角速度,建立一种考虑船舶横摇运动的三维动态社会力模型。以横摇幅度和横摇周期为变量,设置多场景的仿真实验,计算行人平均运动速度和疏散时间,分析不同横摇状态下的行人运动规律。仿真结果表明:相较静态倾斜,船舶横摇进一步导致行人移动速度衰减及疏散进程延缓,随着横摇幅度增大,行人速度不断降低,在横摇幅度超过15°后,疏散时间迅速增加;增大船舶横摇周期对疏散过程有一定的积极影响,可以有效提升人员行走速度,减少疏散时间,但其影响程度仍与横摇幅度有关;在相同横摇幅度情况下,当横摇周期达到10 s及以上时,疏散效率可以显著提高。研究结果可为设计人员提升船舶安全性和管理者制定人员疏散决策提供理论依据和技术支撑。

本文引用格式

王艺航, 刘正江, 房斯明, 王新建, 张新宇 . 船舶横摇状态下的行人疏散速度数值分析[J]. 大连海事大学学报, 2023 , 49(3) : 45 -50 . DOI: 10.16411/j.cnki.issn1006-7736.2023.03.005

Abstract

In order to study the influence of ship rolling on pedestrian evacuation speed, a three-dimensional dynamic social force model considering ship rolling motion was established by calculating the forces on pedestrians in different dimensions of rolling motion space and based on the realtime updated rolling angle and angular velocity. Taking the rolling amplitude and rolling period as variables to set up multi scene simulation experiments, and calculate the pedestrian mean motion speed and evacuation time, then analyze the pedestrian movement law under different rolling states. The simulation results show that compared to static tilting, ship rolling further leads to pedestrian movement speed attenuation and evacuation process delay. As the rolling amplitude increases, the pedestrian speed constantly decreasing. After the rolling amplitude exceeds 15 °, the evacuation time rapidly increases. Increasing the rolling period of a ship has a positive impact on the evacuation process, which can effectively improve personnel walking speed and reduce evacuation time, but the degree of impact is still related to the rolling amplitude. Under the same rolling amplitude, when the rolling period reaches 10 s or more, the evacuation efficiency can be significantly improved. The results can provide theoretical basis and technical support for designers to improve ship safety and managers to make evacuation-decisions.

参考文献

[1] ARSHAD H, EMBLEMSVÅG J, Li G, et al. Determinants, methods, and solutions of evacuation models for passenger ships: A systematic literature review[J]. Ocean Engineering, 2022, 263: 112371.
[2] 房斯明, 刘正江, 王新建. 船舶倾斜状态下的人员疏散研究现状及展望[J]. 科学技术与工程, 2023, 23(7): 2717-2726.
FANG S M, LIU Z J, WANG X J. Current status and prospects of evacuation research on inclined ships[J]. Science Technology and Engineering, 2023, 23(7): 2717-2726. (in Chinese)
[3] 于润泽, 任鸿翔, 孔凡涛, 等. 考虑折返行为和响应时间的大型邮轮人员疏散仿真[J]. 大连海事大学学报, 2022, 48(4): 55-64.
YU R Z, REN H X, KONG F T, et al. Large cruise ship personnel evacuation simulation considering reentry behavior and response time[J]. Journal of Dalian Maritime University, 2022, 48(4): 55-64. (in Chinese)
[4] 尹金岗, 任鸿翔, 李海江. 紧急情况下客船人员疏散过程仿真[J]. 大连海事大学学报, 2021, 47(1): 18-27.
YIN J G, REN H X, LI H J. Simulation of passenger evacuation process in emergency[J]. Journal of Dalian Maritime University, 2021, 47(01): 18-27. (in Chinese)
[5] LIU K, MA Y, CHEN M, et al. A survey of crowd evacuation on passenger ships: Recent advances and future challenges[J]. Ocean Engineering, 2022, 263: 112403. 
[6] WANG X J, LIU Z J, LOUGHNEY S, et al. An experimental analysis of evacuees’ walking speeds under different rolling conditions of a ship[J]. Ocean Engineering, 2021, 233: 108997.
[7] LEE D, PARK J H, KIM H. A study on experiment of human behavior for evacuation simulation[J]. Ocean engineering, 2004, 31(8-9): 931-941.
[8] WALTER H J, LI R, WAGMAN J B, et al. Adaptive perception of changes in affordances for walking on a ship at sea[J]. Human movement science, 2019, 64: 28-37.
[9] BALAKHONTCEVA M, KARBOVSKII V, RYBOKONENKO D, et al. Multi-agent simulation of passenger evacuation considering ship motions[J]. Procedia Computer Science, 2015, 66: 140-149.
[10] 王新建, 刘正江, 韩何彩, 等. 楼梯布局对客船人员疏散效率影响的数值分析[J]. 大连海事大学学报, 2020, 46(4): 1-7.
WANG X J, LIU Z J, HAN H C. Numerical analysis of the effect of stair layout on evacuation efficiency of passenger ship[J]. Journal of Dalian Maritime University, 2020, 46(4): 1-7. (in Chinese)
[11] 杨琪, 王维莉, 胡志华. 突发事件下邮轮应急疏散模拟及其验证[J]. 大连海事大学学报, 2018, 44(2): 27-32.
YANG Q, WANG W L, HU Z H. Simulation and verification of passenger ship emergency evacuation under emergency[J]. Journal of Dalian Maritime University, 2018, 44(2): 27-32. (in Chinese)
[12] WANG X J, LIU Z J, LOUGHNEY S, et al. Experimental study on individual walking speed duringemergency evacuation with the influence of ship motion[J]. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2021, 562:125369.
[13] 孙锦路. 船体倾斜状态下人员运动特征研究[D].合肥: 中国科学技术大学, 2018. 
SUN J L. Experimental study on passenger movement pattern considering effect of ship heeling and trim[D]. Hefei:University of Science and Technology of China, 2018.(in Chinese)
[14] 房斯明, 刘正江, 封室丞, 等. 船舶倾斜对不同行人流疏散效率影响的数值分析[J]. 交通运输系统工程与信息, 2021, 21(1): 201-206. 
FANG S M, LIU Z J, FENG S C, et al. Numerical analysis of influence of ship listing on evacuation efficiency of different pedestrian flows[J]. Journal of Transportation Systems Engineering and Information Technology, 2021, 21(1):201-206. (in Chinese)
[15] 徐奕文, 王维莉. 基于BP神经网络的客船疏散时间快速预测模型[J]. 大连海事大学学报, 2022, 48(3): 31-38.
XU Y W, WANG W L. Rapid prediction model of passenger ship evacuation time based on BP neural network[J]. Journal of Dalian Maritime University, 2022, 48(3): 31-38. (in Chinese)
[16] VALANTO P. Time-dependent survival probability of a damaged passenger ship ii-evacuation in seaway and capsizing[J]. HSVA Report, 2006 (1661): 42-62.

文章导航

/