新冠肺炎疫情背景下中国港口冷链运行效率

展开
  •  (1.大连海事大学 a.综合交通运输协同创新中心;b.航运经济与管理学院,辽宁 大连 116026;2.中交水运规划设计院有限公司,北京 100007)
马千里(1989 — ),男,河南许昌人,博士,讲师,硕士生导师。杜木子*(1991 — ),男,辽宁锦州人,硕士,高级工程师。E-mail:dumuzi@pdiwt.com.cn

收稿日期: 2023-04-07

  修回日期: 2023-07-08

  录用日期: 2023-07-08

  网络出版日期: 2023-12-15

基金资助

国家自然科学基金青年科学基金项目(72204034);辽宁省社会科学规划基金青年项目(L21CGL006);中国博士后科学基金项目(2023M730457)

Operation efficiency of Chinese port cold chain under the context of COVID-19

Expand
  • (1a.Collaborative Innovation Center for Transport Studies; 1b.School of Maritime Economics and Management, Dalian Maritime University, Dalian 116026, China; 2.CCCC Water Transportation Consultants Co., Ltd., Beijing 100007, China)

Received date: 2023-04-07

  Revised date: 2023-07-08

  Accepted date: 2023-07-08

  Online published: 2023-12-15

摘要

为科学评价新冠肺炎疫情对中国港口冷链运行效率的影响,基于数据包络分析(DEA),同时考虑评价指标数据的差异性和指标间关系,将变异系数法和相关系数法与DEA模型结合,得到改进的DEA模型。以新冠肺炎疫情对中国港口冷链运行造成的影响为例,使用改进的DEA模型和空间自相关模型进行分析。结果表明:新冠肺炎疫情期间,中国沿海重要港口的冷链运行效率整体呈现先下降后上升的特点,除连云港港外,其余港口冷链运行效率均在新冠肺炎疫情的传导爆发期降到最低;疫情发生前后,莫兰指数散点图中的各个港口位于第二、四象限,尽管大连港、宁波-舟山港以及广州港在新冠肺炎疫情的冲击增长期冷链业务量上升明显,但港口冷链业务竞争格局并未出现显著变化;中国政府迅速采取的防控措施对港口外贸冷链业务产生了一些影响,尤其是大连港和上海港受到的影响频次和程度较大,但从长远角度看,强有力的管控措施对于控制港区疫情传播风险、维护港口长期运行稳定及保障贸易活动的正常进行具有重要意义。

本文引用格式

马千里, 刘敏, 杜木子 . 新冠肺炎疫情背景下中国港口冷链运行效率[J]. 大连海事大学学报, 2023 , 49(4) : 126 -134 . DOI: 10.16411/j.cnki.issn1006-7736.2023.04.014

Abstract

In order to scientifically evaluate the impact of the COVID-19 on the operation efficiency of Chinese port cold chain, based on data envelopment analysis (DEA) , also considering the differences of evaluation indicator data and the relationships between the indicators, an improved DEA model was obtained by combining the coefficient of variation method and correlation coefficient method with the DEA model. Taking the impact of the COVID-19 on the cold chain operation of Chinese ports as a example, the improved DEA model and spatial autocorrelation model were used to analysis. Results show that during the COVID-19, the operating efficiency of the cold chain of the important coastal ports in China was characterized by falling first and then rising, and the operating efficiency of the cold chain in other ports was reduced to a minimum during the transmission and outbreak period of COVID-19 except Lianyungang port. Before and after the outbreak of COVID-19, each port in the Moran index scatter chart was located in the second and fourth quadrants, although the cold chain business volume of Dalian port, Ningbo-Zhoushan port and Guangzhou port increased significantly during the impact growth period of the COVID-19, the competition pattern of port cold chain business did not change significantly. The rapid prevention and control measures taken by the Chinese government have had some impact on the cold chain business of port foreign trade, especially the frequency and degree of impact on Dalian Port and Shanghai Port. However, from a long-term perspective, the  strong control measures are important for controlling the epidemic spread risk in port areas, maintaining port operating stably for a long time, and ensuring the normal operation of trade activities.

参考文献

[1]万程鹏,陶嘉乐,伍静,等. 新冠肺炎疫情对中国国际航运网络空间格局影响分析[J]. 交通信息与安全,2020,38(2):129-135. 
WAN C P, TAO J L, WU J, et al. An Analysis of Influences of the COVID-19 on the Spatial Structure of the China’s Global Shipping Network[J]. Journal of Transport Information and Safety, 2020,38(2): 129-135. (in Chinese)
[2]徐培红,董鸿瑜,谢瑞娟,等. 新冠肺炎疫情对长江航运发展的影响研究[J]. 交通信息与安全,2020,38(2):149-154. 
XU P H, DONG H Y, XIE R J, et al. Impacts of COVID-19 on Development of Yangtze River Shipping[J]. Journal of Transport Information and Safety. 2020, 38(2): 149-154. (in Chinese)
[3]张玮珊,胡新玲,律娜,等. 新型冠状病毒对冷链运输食品质量安全的影响[J]. 食品安全质量检测学报,2021,12(17):6735-6742. 
ZHANG W S, HU X L, LV N, et al. Influence of SARS-CoV-2 on the quality and safety of cold chain transportation food[J]. Journal of Food Safety & Quality. (in Chinese)
[4]马千里,高梓惠,邵帅,等. 疫情背景下海运进口冷藏箱运输路径多目标优化[J/OL]. 系统管理学报,2023,1-17.
MA Q L, GAO Z H, SHAO S, et al. Multi-Objective Optimization of Transport Route of Imported Marine Refrigerated Containers in the Context of Epidemic Situation[J/OL]. Journal of Systems & Management, 2023, 1-17. (in Chinese)
[5]黄虞远,张思慧,周娟,等. 新型冠状病毒在环境中的存活潜力和感染风险[J]. 疾病监测,2021,36(1): 16-22. 
HUANG Y Y, ZHANG S H, ZHOU J, et al. Survival potential and infectiousness of SARS-CoV-2 in environment[J]. Disease Prevention and Control, 2021, 36(1): 16-22. (in Chinese)
[6]陈香玉,龚晶,陈俊红. 新冠疫情常态化防控背景下我国食品安全追溯体系建设的思考[J]. 现代食品科技,2023,39(1):352-358.
CHEN X Y, GONG J, CHEN J H. Thoughts on the Construction of Our Country's Food Safety Traceabilit System under the Background of Normalized COVID-19 Epidemic Prevention and Control[J]. Modern Food Science and Technology, 2023, 39(1): 352-358. (in Chinese)
[7]CHARNES A, COOPER W W, RHODES E. Measuring the efficiency of decision making units[J]. European Journal of Operational Research,1978,2(6): 429-444. 
[8]EMROUZNEJAD A, YANG G L. A survey and analysis of the first 40 years of scholarly literature in DEA:1978-2016[J]. Socio-economic Planning Sciences,2018,61: 4-8.
[9]戈艳艳,王姗姗. 考虑碳排放的港口全要素生产率及影响因素分析[J]. 交通运输系统工程与信息,2021,21(2): 22-29. 
GE Y Y, WANG S S. Total Factor Productivity and Influencing Factors Analysis for Ports Considering Carbon Emissions[J]. Journal of Transportation Systems Engineering and Information Technolog, 2021, 21(2): 22-29. (in Chinese)
[10]刘翠莲,翁法兵,黄玉明. 基于系统绿色测度的集装箱港口绿色协调发展研究[J]. 大连海事大学学报,2020,46(4): 58-68.
LIU C L, WEN F B, HUANG Y M. Research on green coordinated development of container port based on system green measure[J]. Journal of Dalian Maritime University, 2020, 46(4): 58-68. (in Chinese)
[11]郑兵云,杨宏丰.“一带一路”中国沿海城市港口效率评价——基于DEA博弈交叉效率-Tobit模型[J]. 数理统计与管理,2021,40(3): 502-514.
ZHENG B Y, YANG H F. Evaluation of Port Efficiency of China’s Coastal Cities in “The Belt and Road ”— Based on DEA Game Crossover Efficiency-Tobit Module[J]. Journal of Applied Statistics and Management, 2021, 40(3): 502-514. (in Chinese)
[12]LOPEZ-BERMUDEZ B, Freire-Seoane M J, Gonzalez-Laxe F. Efficiency and productivity of container terminals in Brazilianports[J]. Utilities Policy, 2019, 56(FEB.): 82-91.
[13]刘文君,何新华,胡文发. 重大突发疫情对港口运营能力的影响研究[J]. 交通信息与安全,2020,38(2): 102-111. 
LIU W J, HE X H, HU W F. Impacts of Major Epidemic in Public Health Emergencies on Operational Capacity of Ports[J]. Journal of Transport Information and Safety, 2020, 38(2): 102-111. (in Chinese)
[14]WEI G W, Wang J M. A comparative study of robust efficiency analysis and Data Envelopment Analysis with imprecise data[J].Expert Systems with Applications, 2017, 81:28-38.
[15]庄平,李延喜.基于 G1-变异系数法的企业投资风险评价模型与实证研究[J].软件科学,2011,25(10):107-112. 
ZHUANG P,LI Y X.Appraisement model and empirical study of enterprise investment risk based on G1-coefficient of variation[J].Soft Science, 2011, 25(10): 107-112. (in Chinese)
[16]SHEN J, Lu J, Xu Z, et.al. Evaluation of port logistics efficiency based on data envelopment analysis and cross-efficiency evaluation[J]. Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, 2019, 128:18-33.
[17]李丹,栾维新,片峰.中国沿海集装箱港口航线竞争力评价[J]. 上海海事大学学报,2015,36(3):13-19. 
LI D, LUAN W X, PIAN F. Evaluation of shipping route competitiveness of Chinese coastal container ports[J]. Journal of Shanghai Maritime University, 2015, 36(3): 13-19. (in Chinese)
[18]马千里,彭云,王文渊,等. 水果冷藏集装箱出口作业中制冷中断影响分析[J]. 港工技术,2017,54(4): 65-69.
MA Q L, PENG Y, WANG W Y, et al. Influence of Refrigeration Interruption on Export Operation of Fruit Refrigerated Containers[J]. Port Engineering Technology, 2017, 54(4): 65-69. (in Chinese)
[19]钱箴,史雪洋,程兵,等. 疫情防控效果的跨国比较及其对各国经济发展的影响研究[J].管理评论,2022,34(6):27-40.
QIAN J, SHI X Y, CHENG B, et al. Transnational Comparison of Epidemic Prevention and Control Effect and Its Impact on Economic Development of Different Countries[J]. Management Review, 2022, 34(6): 27-40. (in Chinese)
[20]TONE K. A slacks-based measure of efficiency in data envelopment analysis[J]. European Journal of Operational Research. 2001, 130 (3): 498-509.
[21]刘琳,尹凤. 港口对腹地城市经济增长的空间溢出效应研究[J]. 交通运输系统工程与信息,2020,20(3):144-149. 
LIU L, YING F. Spatial Spillover Effects of Ports on Economic Growth of Hinterland Cities[J]. Journal of Transportation Systems Engineering and Information Technology, 2020, 20(3): 144-149. (in Chinese)
[22]王伟,纪翌佳,金凤君.基于动态空间面板模型的中国港口竞争与合作关系研究[J]. 地理研究,2022,41(3):616-632.
WANG W, JI Y J, JING F J. Port Competition and Cooperation in China Based on Dynamic Spatial Panel Model[J]. Geographical Research, 2022, 41(3): 616-632. (in Chinese)
[23]李拓晨,石孖祎,韩冬日. 新能源技术创新对中国区域全要素生态效率的影响[J]. 系统工程,2022,40(5):1-17.
LI T C, SHI Z W, HAN D R. The Impact of New Energy Technology Innovation on Regional Total Factor Eco-efficiency in China[J]. Systems Engineering, 2022, 40(5): 1-17.
文章导航

/